rybo Re: Thoughts on Spies?
Silly season starts earlier and earlier each year!
I don't think that Valentino is "over the hill" - he is still fully capable of winning races and championships. Ducati has proven to be too small of a company to develop at the pace that Moto GP requires. It's possible that with the new influx of cash from the new owner that they could mount a serious and fast GP effort.
Ben Spies is as serious and as fast a rider as any out there and I fully expected that the move to the 1000CC configuration was going to benefit him. There is great disparity in weight and riding style between Ben and Jorge, which makes developing a new platform challenging. Yamaha has obviously decided to focus on their "A" rider in Jorge.
I honestly believe that Ben Spies will challenge for the world championship someday. His level of commitment to the sport is very high and I think he's one of the hardest working riders in the field.
In the event the Moto GP moves towards the CRT formula, I think that would greatly benefit riders like Ben Spies who cut his racing teeth in production based machinery.
One more observation before I go, and that is that with the exception of Nicky Hayden, all of our Moto GP champions in the 2000's have come up through the GP ranks - 125's and 250's. So far no one out of the Moto 2 series has mounted a serious threat to the aliens and those who have come up through superbike have not either. Stephan Bradl may be the first to mount a serious threat out of Moto 2.
Since it's begun - here are my predictions:
Valentino will stay with Ducati - he and the new ownership will convince Jerry Burgess to stay on as well and they are going to dedicate resources never before seen to making that pair world champions once again. Valentino will eclipse the remaining Ago record that he has to overcome.
Jorge will stay with Yamaha - it's been a good relationship and they will both look to continue it
Casey Stoner will retire as predicted
Suzuki will make a re-appearance on the Moto GP scene and will look to re-acquire Bautista in the process. Alvaro clearly has the talent to make a bad bike work OK and isn't getting the support he wants / needs from Honda.
Yamaha will bring Cal onto the factory squad.
Ben Spies will get an offer from Honda
Bradl will get an offer from Honda
Dovi will get a factory ride with Yamaha on a 3rd bike
CRT will continue for another year, but ultimately the field will return to all prototype machines with a spec ECU. This will satisfy both Dorna's desire to reduce cost and the manufacturers desire to retain brand identity in the championship. This has been one of the major failings of Moto 2 in my opinion - no one roots for the Suter or the FTR- they want to root for a brand or a team that they recognize and can go see in their local dealership. That being said, Moto 2 has produced very close competition and is extremely interesting to watch. This is why the spec ECU will make an appearance in Moto GP.
-s